Posted by
Danny Huddleston on Sunday, September 27, 2009 9:27:49 PM
When you read an article in the mainstream media on global warming you
can count on two things: First, the headline will be designed to scare
the reader with a doomsday scenario. And second, the "facts" in the
article almost never back up the headline.
A case in point is this
article from The Washington Post. The headline says: "New Analysis Brings Dire Forecast Of 6.3 Degree Temperature Increase".
If I didn't know better I would be worried. The Earth's temperature is
about to rise by 6.3 degrees? What the headline failed to mention is
that the temperature increase is predicted to happen 90 years into the
future, if it happens at all.
Climate
researchers now predict the planet will warm by 6.3 degrees Fahrenheit
by the end of the century even if the world's leaders fulfill their
most ambitious climate pledges, a faster and broader scale of climate
change than forecast just two years ago, according to a report released
Thursday by the United Nations Environment Program.
The new
overview of global warming research, aimed at marshalling political
support for a new international climate pact by the end of the year,
highlights the extent to which recent scientific assessments have
outstripped the predictions issued by the Nobel Prize-winning U.N.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2007.
These climate researchers could be the best weather
forecasters in the history of the world. The weather channel should
hire these guys immediately. At the end of this century --
approximately 90 years from today -- the earth will be 6.3 degrees
warmer than it is today. Not 6.2 degrees or 6.4 degrees but 6.3.
Admittedly it is an estimate but what an amazingly accurate estimate
considering the length of time involved.
Now I know we should
never question the mainstream media, but this amazing prediction has
got me scratching my head. How did they come up with that number? Ah,
here it is:
The group took the upper range targets
of nearly 200 nations' climate policies -- including the House-passed
climate bill that would reduce emissions 73 percent from 2005 levels by
2050, along with the European Union's pledge to reduce its emissions 80
percent compared to 1990 levels by 2050 -- and found that even under
that optimistic scenario, the average global temperature was likely to
warm by 6.3 degrees.
Silly me, I thought that number
was based on science. It is simply a guess of the Earth's temperature
90 years into the future based on the climate policies of 200 nations.
This is what passes for journalism today? I could get more accurate
data by closing my eyes and punching keys on a calculator. Imagine all
the poor souls out there who read this stuff everyday, and believe it.
And by the way these predictions are based on the flawed theory that
increases in CO2 in the atmosphere cause the temperature of the Earth
to rise. In the last decade as CO2 levels have been rising the Earth's
temperature has actually been dropping.
I did learn one thing
from this article, if you want to be a soothsayer, let your predictions
play out over a time span of almost 100 years. That way all your
critics will dead and buried before the evidence comes in.